Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.934948 5.693140 6.527720 7.514415 8.649094 9.913167 11.428503
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.031752 5.057945 6.283220 7.853639 9.813264 12.178679 15.252696
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.227758 4.358508 5.808388 7.802975 10.476328 13.937641 18.764713
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.845107 4.103895 5.824407 8.346239 11.949516 16.916510 24.294162
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.490923 3.815014 5.732807 8.710311 13.218647 19.796038 30.139616
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.136314 3.456854 5.473861 8.774953 14.045687 22.144855 35.564018
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.751154 2.981718 4.956053 8.348940 14.038795 23.211346 39.159801
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.593027 2.843109 4.941859 8.714670 15.334476 26.487869 46.760979
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.501007 2.799006 5.072335 9.334099 17.133564 30.825497 56.762454
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.361928 2.647105 4.989653 9.558614 18.259222 34.136019 65.405877
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.229168 2.484691 4.861313 9.673796 19.189092 37.199598 74.001329
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.071576 2.248878 4.559293 9.408165 19.345361 38.822122 80.040597
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.919265 2.004456 4.213911 9.023230 19.246097 40.007318 85.541687
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.840262 1.900878 4.138049 9.181578 20.285299 43.617858 96.577116
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.739690 1.734416 3.906089 8.971992 20.512267 45.579546 104.404267
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.708813 1.719814 4.000662 9.497260 22.432609 51.431276 121.675538
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.667321 1.673751 4.017716 9.847551 24.006462 56.733626 138.483637
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.609489 1.578917 3.907789 9.880880 24.839664 60.459454 152.134798
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.527501 1.410567 3.597467 9.378109 24.296943 60.872067 157.803746
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.503551 1.387793 3.641868 9.773395 26.056749 67.097866 178.934057
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.495047 1.404702 3.789185 10.457403 28.661064 75.783087 207.679463
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.466170 1.361225 3.772696 10.702299 30.138940 81.788639 230.215381
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.434775 1.305610 3.715542 10.827106 31.308574 87.144277 251.775646